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| Member
Registration Non-Member Registration Press Registration |
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Schedule
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| 5:30PM-6:30PM |
Poster Sessions/ Buffet Dinner/ Networking |
| 6:30PM-7:30PM |
Startup Company Presentations / Q & A |
| 7:30PM-8:00PM |
Break |
| 8:00PM-8:30PM |
Dr.
Moshe Handelsman |
| 8:30PM-9:00PM |
Professor
Richard A. Muller |
| 9:00PM-9:30PM |
Discussion |
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| Richard
A. Muller, Professor of Physics, University of
California, Berkeley Faculty Senior Scientist,
Lawrence Berkeley Laboratory Chair & CTO,
Technology Venture Advisors |
Richard
A. Muller
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Richard
Muller's most famous scientific achievements include
his invention of Accelerator Mass Spectrometry
(sensitive
radioisotope measurements), his use of supernovas
for cosmology,
discovery of the cosine anisotropy of the cosmic
microwave radiation (from a U-2 aircraft), studies
of astrophysics/geophysics
interactions. For 34 years he has been a Jason
advisor to the US
government on national security matters. He wrote
"Technology for Presidents", a popular
column for MIT's Technology Review Online. Awards
include MacArthur Foundation "genius"
award, Texas Instruments Founders' Prize, National
Science Foundation Alan T. Waterman Award, and
citation by Newsweek (1989) as one of 25 "top
innovators" in the United States. He has
over 140 scientific publications and 6 books,
including a technical book on paleoclimate. He
was a referee for the recent National Academy
of Sciences study on global temperature. He is
co-founder, chairman and CTO of Technology Venture
Advisors. |
| Topic:
"Global Warming: Fact and Fiction" |
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Outline
by Professor Muller:"The trouble with most
folks isn't so much their ignorance …
It's
knowin' so many things that ain't so."
The topic of Global Warming
epitomizes this statement. No subject today
is more rife with political spin, fuzzy thinking,
and pseudo-scientific snow. I will give a summary
of what is known and what is unknown, from a
science/
technology perspective. I will describe the
"hockey stick" controversy (are we
really experiencing the warmest weather of the
last 1000 years?) and its resolution. I'll briefly
discuss the technological options for the future.
If you can tell my politics from my presentation,
then I have failed. |
| Keynote
Speaker: Dr. Moshe Handelsman, Founder of Advanced
Forecasting |
Moshe
Handelsman
|
Dr.
Handelsman, founder of Advanced
Forecasting, is an expert in data analysis,
econometrics, and forecast modeling. A quantitative
forecasting model that he developed in 1986 has
accurately predicted the peaks and troughs of
the Silicon Cycle, including the 2001 recession,
the strength and timing of the 2003 upturn, and
most recently the slowdown in the second half
of 2004.
Dr. Handelsman holds an Industrial Engineering
(Technion, Haifa), an M.B.A. (Tel-Aviv University),
and a Ph.D. (Market Research and Econometrics
from Purdue University). |
| Topic:
"Is the End of the Party Looming for the
Semiconductor and related Industries"? |
Outline:Is
the semiconductor industry overheated now?
While the semiconductor industry has been
on a continuous growth phase now for just
over four years, it may be approaching a similar
situation of over-heating that just preceded
the recessions of 1996 and 2001. Advanced
Forecasting will address the question of whether
it is time to prepare for another downturn
or just enjoy the ride.
The
quantitative forecasting house will also share
several of its forecasts, including those
for IC revenues, IC units, semiconductor equipment,
materials, and wafers.
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